16 August 2009

Long term stock tips - 2

COMPANY: VIJAYA BANK

Close Price: 42.65 (14-Aug-2009)

Market Cap 1,846.79 | EPS (TTM) 11.13 | P/E 3.83 | P/C 3.56
Book Value 53.47 | Price/Book 0.80 | Div(%) 10.00 | Div Yield(%) 2.35
Market Lot 1.00 | Face Value 10.00 | Industry P/E 7.37


INVESTMENTS in Vijaya Bank can be considered at CMP Rs 42.5 The stock's valuation is at a discount to those of several public sector bank stocks.

Vijaya Bank is trading at a price to book ratio of about 0.8 times while most other public sector banks are trading at a ratio of about 2 times or higher. Vijaya Bank's dividend yield is also the highest amongst banks.

There are reasons behind the poor valuation accorded to Vijaya Bank. First, with the Government holding about 53.9 per cent, Vijaya Bank's access to equity capital needed to fund business growth was perceived as being constrained. Equally important was the insipid performance of Vijaya Bank so far this financial year. Net interest income has been under pressure while there has also been an increase in bad loans.

With advances of the banking system growing at about 30 per cent, outlook for growth in net interest income of most banks including that of Vijaya Bank is bright.

Rise in bad loans is still not a cause for concern, as gross bad loans continue to remain at less than 3 per cent of advances.

Volume growth would thus help the bank report growth in net profits. Need for provisions against decline in value of assets in the next 12 months are also likely to be considerably lower.

Given the circumstances, it is still within the bank's reach to generate return on assets of about 1.25 per cent or higher and sustain it. That will be enough to support the valuation of the stock and provide a cushion on the downside at about the current price level. Buy with a one-to-two year perspective.

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Wish you happy investing. Jai ho.

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